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Shale gas, peak oil and our future

The following interview with Richard Heinberg was originally published in Flemish at the Belgian website De Wereld Morgen . The interview was given in conjunction with the release of the Dutch translation of Richard’s Book Snake Oil: How Fracking’s False Promise of Plenty Imperils Our Future . The Dutch title is Schaliegas, piekolie & onze toekomst . Selma Franssen: Considering the shale gas and oil reserves in Europe, is there any sense in fracking here, all other objections aside? Richard Heinberg: Until test wells are drilled, it’s very difficult to know what the actual shale gas and oil production potential is for Europe. All sorts of numbers have been cited, but they are simply guesses. Back in 2011, the US Energy Information Administration estimated that Poland’s shale gas reserves were 187 trillion cubic feet, but a little on-the-ground exploration led the Polish Geological Institute to downgrade that figure to […]

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Heinberg: Shale gas, peak oil and our future

Page added on January 9, 2014 Selma Franssen: Considering the shale gas and oil reserves in Europe, is there any sense in fracking here, all other objections aside? Richard Heinberg: Until test wells are drilled, it’s very difficult to know what the actual shale gas and oil production potential is for Europe. All sorts of numbers have been cited, but they are simply guesses. Back in 2011, the US Energy Information Administration estimated that Poland’s shale gas reserves were 187 trillion cubic feet, but a little on-the-ground exploration led the Polish Geological Institute to downgrade that figure to a mere 27 TCF—a number that may still be overly optimistic. My institute’s research suggests that US future production of shale oil and gas has been wildly over-estimated too. So, without attempting to put a specific number to it, I think it would be wise to assume that Europe’s actual reserves […]

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New research points to risk peak oil presents to business

For many years, the most compelling issue driving sustainability efforts among businesses, consumers, governments and activists has been climate change. We are all becoming increasingly concerned with the impacts of rising temperatures and extreme weather events on our supply chains, cities, transportation networks, agricultural industries, and lives. We have become increasingly alarmed about the results of burning too much coal, oil and gas; the consequences of excessive emissions resulting from some of the most useful substances humanity has ever harnessed. We have identified our most important struggle – to maintain economic growth while reducing carbon emissions. Because our concern has been first and foremost the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, we have designed and sporadically implemented economic incentives to reduce carbon emissions. We issue carbon credits to companies that emit less carbon. We offer cash to countries who don’t cut down […]

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Brent Boosted by China Demand Data

Brent crude-oil futures ticked higher in London Friday, boosted by strong Chinese demand data, but the trend remains to the downside with both Brent and WTI having settled Thursday at multi-month lows. Brent crude for February delivery rose 33 cents to $106.72 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe. U.S. crude-oil futures were 80 cents, or 0.9%, higher at $92.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In the previous session the North American contract settled at an eight-month low, and Brent at a two-month low. WTI has lost $6 since the last trading day of 2013; Brent has lost almost $4 in the same period. Brent gained support from positive Chinese import data. China’s crude-oil imports in December rose to a record high on a daily basis, although for the year as a whole the country’s crude import growth slowed by 4% from 6.8% in 2012. Net imports […]

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Obama Orders Review Of US Energy Infrastructure

President Barack Obama on Thursday ordered a broad review of the country’s energy infrastructure, noting that factors such as rising demand and climate change have put increased pressure on the aging system. It would include all the systems required for "transporting, transmitting, and delivering energy," the White House said in a statement announcing the Quadrennial Energy Review. A related task force would develop recommendations and submit a report to the president every four years, according to Obama’s memo establishing the review. The first report is due by Jan. 31, 2015. "Our current infrastructure is increasingly challenged by transformations in energy supply, markets, and patterns of end use; issues of aging and capacity; impacts of climate change; and cyber and physical threats," the memo said. "Any vulnerability in this infrastructure may be exacerbated by the increasing interdependencies of energy systems with water, telecommunications, […]

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Exclusive: Iran, Russia negotiating big oil-for-goods deal

ran and Russia are negotiating an oil-for-goods swap that would let Iran lift oil exports substantially, in defiance of the Western sanctions that helped force Tehran in November to agree a preliminary deal to end its nuclear program. Three Russian and Iranian sources close to the negotiations said final details were in discussion for a barter deal that would see Moscow buy up to 500,000 barrels a day of Iranian oil in exchange for Russian equipment and goods. "Good progress is being made at the moment with strong chances of success," said a Russian source. "We are discussing the details and the date of signing a deal depends on those details." It is not clear whether the deal would be implemented before the details of November’s nuclear agreement in Geneva between Iran and six world powers, including Russia, are finalized. Technical talks between Iran and the […]

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As Iran Nuclear Talks Resume, Ayatollah Criticizes U.S.

Iran’s supreme leader harshly denounced the United States on Thursday as negotiations to conclude an interim agreement in the Iranian nuclear dispute resumed, saying those talks illustrated what he called the hostility of Americans toward Iran and the Muslim world. The remarks by the leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, reported by Iran’s official news media, covered a range of grievances against the United States, including what he described as American hypocrisy on human rights issues, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the military prison at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, which President Obama had promised to close. Ayatollah Khamenei also reiterated his contention that the American-led economic sanctions against Iran over its nuclear program had no relevance to the progress in the negotiations with six world powers in recent months under Iran’s new president, Hassan Rouhani. “The enemies think they imposed the embargo and forced Iran to negotiate,” he said. “No! We have already […]

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Another Iraq War? Here’s How to Avoid It

g Many Americans are surprised to see Fallujah back on the front pages of newspapers. How did things get so bad that the Iraqi government was compelled to call for American support in its battle against an al-Qaeda affiliate, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria? This crescendo of violence is the culmination of two well-established trajectories. The first trajectory is the worsening violence in Syria and the way in which the unrest has bled into neighboring states. While Jordan, Turkey and Lebanon have borne the bulk of Syria’s refugees, Iraq has suffered greatly under the weight of Syria’s oozing sectarianism. In many ways, Syria (a Sunni majority country long ruled by an Allawite minority) is the mirror image of Iraq (a majority Shi’a country long ruled by a Sunni minority). Iraq had only begun to heal from its sectarian war when the venom of Syria’s […]

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Bomber in Iraq Kills 22 Recruits Seeking to Fight Al Qaeda

A suicide bomber detonated explosives on Thursday among a group of recruits who were joining the Iraqi Army to fight Al Qaeda in Anbar Province, the police said. Twenty-two recruits were killed, and 31 were wounded, officials said. The recruits were lined up just outside the entrance gate at the Muthana airfield in Baghdad when the attacker joined the line and blew himself up. “We came to join the army to fight Al Qaeda, and this will not stop us,” Ali Jasim, one of the recruits at the base, said in a telephone interview after the blast. Mr. Jasim said the attack was an attempt by Sunni militants to stop the flow of government troops to Anbar, where Qaeda fighters have taken control of significant parts of the two main cities, Ramadi and Falluja. “We are here to die for our country; we’ve had enough of them,” […]

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Gazprom Neft makes breakthrough with Iraqi oil

Russian energy company Gazprom Neft said Thursday its first volumes of oil were produced from the Badra field near the eastern Iraqi border with Iran. Gazprom Neft said it moved one step closer to commercial production after recording a daily natural flow rate of 7,000 barrels of oil from the Badra field. Vadim Yakovlev, first deputy chief executive officer at Gazprom Neft, said the company started "practically from scratch" three years ago and was now nearly finished with the infrastructure necessary for large-scale production at Badra. Gazprom Neft serves as the operator at Badra in a consortium that includes Korean and Brazilian counterparts. Gazprom Neft under the terms of a 2009 agreement with the Iraqis will develop the Badra field in Wasit province for the next 20 years. Total capacity could reach 170,000 barrels per day. The company said apart from the commercial infrastructure, […]

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