Oil traders glued to images of Ukrainian and Russian troops in a standoff in Crimea are missing a much more obvious indicator: The stock market. It is characteristic for oil prices to jump at the first whiff of a potential conflict, and Brent crude obliged Monday with a 2% increase, taking it back above $110 a barrel. But Ukraine’s crisis is, if anything, likely a bearish development for oil. Ukraine’s own oil supply is negligible. Russia’s, at about 11 million barrels a day, is vital. But its sheer size means a broad embargo encompassing all major oil-consuming nations mean that is both highly unlikely and likely unenforceable. If anything, the crisis could encourage a release of strategic oil stocks on the part of the U.S. and allies. In the longer term, it could swing U.S. politicians toward allowing more exports of crude oil. Meanwhile, the threat to demand is […]