World will need to repeat US shale revolution to meet future oil demand Even though the current weakness in oil prices below $100 per barrel has been caused by a glut in global supply this will be short lived. Most of the new oil has come from three sources, US shale, Iraq and Africa. Each has its own problems going forward that will limit its potential to deliver the incremental increases in supply that will be required to meet even the most pessimistic forecasts for demand by 2040. In the case of US shale this oil already represents the bottom of the barrel. Lower prices mean that US output will plateau this year at around 9.3m bpd as oil companies shut down rigs at a record rate. However, even when these rigs eventually return once prices recover, as they have since March, it is unlikely that America’s oil output […]