Meanwhile, The Post’s Sarah Kaplan reports that, in the Arctic, perilous climate feedbacks threaten to initiate dangerous downward spirals. Rain in typically frigid places such as Greenland can make the surface ice darker — and therefore more prone to absorb solar radiation, causing more melting. Increased wildlife activity in a warmer Arctic, such as beaver dam-building, could disturb the permafrost, with potentially dire consequences; whatever carbon is locked within, in the form of long-frozen organic matter, could thaw and escape, adding potentially huge amounts of greenhouse gases such as methane into the atmosphere.
Sea level-related disasters over the past decade, such as the massive flooding 2012’s superstorm Sandy inflicted on New York, have been a warning. Sea-level rise and ocean warming are generational threats that will hit the country’s children and grandchildren far harder. As bad as it seems now, glacial melting might really kick in after mid-century — and sea-level rise promises to be even worse after 2100.
Even if the net impact of Antarctic melting is muted, and even if Greenland’s ice remains miraculously sturdy, higher global temperatures will cause the water already in the ocean to expand. Coastal communities and island nations must brace for more water-related destruction. And world leaders must continue trying to restrain global emissions. Humanity should not test whether unrestrained warming will catastrophically reshape the world’s coastlines. As is the case with so many other potential climate consequences, allowing this gamble to play out is not worth the risk.