It is difficult to see any positive interpretation of the changes and conflicts that are increasingly filling the headlines of the press. Fluctuating optimism over the return to credible export production from Libya, to take but one example, is no sooner reported when the news comes of increased fighting in Tripoli , including the international airport. At the same time violence is spreading towards Egypt . Without a strong central government it is likely that the conflicts in that country will continue into the foreseeable future, with continued negative impacts on the export of oil from the country. Transient attempts to maintain a cease-fire and stabilize South Sudan have apparently failed again . The fighting has shut down local oil production, while overall production from South Sudan has been cut to 165 kbd. Capital continues to leave Russia (h/t Nick) and that flight is only likely to accelerate as […]