Author: ASPO-USA

There has been considerable debate lately on what effect the supply and price of oil is having on the economy. It is, to my mind, a lot more serious than the vast majority of economists believe. In fact one can just look at what is happening today to see the effect of a constrained oil supply and high oil prices. Just look at the unemployment rate: Real unemployment is double what it was in 2007. And it is creeping higher. If you have not watched Oil Supply and Demand Forecasting with Steven Kopits   then you have missed the best and most informative video that has come along since this whole debate started over a decade ago. I have just finished watching it for the third time. This time I made notes. Kopits makes it very clear that oil is a binding constraint on economic growth. Of course that […]

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Apparently, the possibility that some innovations might be introduced, if they aren’t already in an undefined but probably—or at least likely—manner in certain instances where there could be some potentially good news provided that certain other events fall into place exactly as some are hoping for at some point, but in a good way (just not consistent with facts or reality, but why quibble), then by golly we might possibly see oil prices drop, which, coupled with the distinct possibility that certain savings could be achieved immediately after magic happens, could result in something good—perhaps. (Of course, lower oil prices would lead to lower profits and lower investment funds available and thus end a lot of exploration and production, but hey! Prices will be lower.) We won’t have anything to buy, but it will be cheaper…. That’s the essential point offered in a recent addition to the endless parade […]

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“Wait a minute,” you must be saying. “Haven’t we been hearing from the oil industry and from government and international agencies that worldwide oil production has been increasing in the last several years?” The answer, of course, is yes. But, the deeper question is whether this assertion is actually correct. Here is a key fact that casts doubt on the official reporting: When the industry and the government talk about the price of oil sold on world markets and traded on futures exchanges, they mean one thing. But, when they talk about the total production of oil, they actually mean something quite different–namely, a much broader category that includes all kinds of things that are simply not oil  and that could never be sold on the world market as oil. I’ve written about this issue of the true definition of oil before.  But Texas oilman Jeffrey Brown has been […]

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We live in a society where it is impossible to live a functional lifestyle and not consume products made from petro-chemicals every single day — electronics, fabrics, painkillers, food additives, cosmetics, fabrics, cleaning supplies, building materials, the list goes on. More than ever, it is precisely because it is incredibly difficult to survive outside of our wasteful, exploitative and fossil fuel-obsessed system that we need environmentalists and other activists — yes, even if they own a cellphone and wear cheaply manufactured clothing — advocating for alternative means of production and modes of consumption. (links in original) [1] Waiting for industry officials or their paid media mouthpieces—or political leaders with votes to gather—to deliver the truthful but sobering set of facts about our future energy supply will guarantee a long wait. Too many self-serving and short-term interests to be tended to make it unlikely we’ll get the honest and full […]

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By Competition often breeds excellence. Nowhere else does this cliché hold more true than in the shale boom that’s currently underway. In North Dakota, we see drillers are consistently improving their operational efficiencies with practically every new well drilled. Independent companies like Continental Resources have lowered their average well costs in the Bakken by almost 20%. Their success is far from an anomaly, and it has become a standard for every other operator. What’s more is that this isn’t restricted to just North Dakota. Today, competition has helped the oil bonanza spread like wildfire across the lower 48 states as new drilling technology unfolds. Unfortunately, that simply isn’t the case for everyone. Boom to Bust for Big Oil Take a look at the other side of the spectrum. Alaska has arguably been the most sensational disappointment in the U.S. oil industry since the 1980s, and the blame rests squarely […]

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Competition often breeds excellence. Nowhere else does this cliché hold more true than in the shale boom that’s currently underway. In North Dakota, we see drillers are consistently improving their operational efficiencies with practically every new well drilled. Independent companies like Continental Resources have lowered their average well costs in the Bakken by almost 20%. Their success is far from an anomaly, and it has become a standard for every other operator. What’s more is that this isn’t restricted to just North Dakota. Today, competition has helped the oil bonanza spread like wildfire across the lower 48 states as new drilling technology unfolds. Unfortunately, that simply isn’t the case for everyone. Boom to Bust for Big Oil Take a look at the other side of the spectrum. Alaska has arguably been the most sensational disappointment in the U.S. oil industry since the 1980s, and the blame rests squarely on […]

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Saved Save Article My Saved Items « » 2014-04-10T05:30:00Z Commentary: The Greens’ Peak-Oil Limits-to-Growth Apocalypse that wasn’t By RON KNECHT Elko Daily Free Press A few years ago, some experts predicted the world was about to reach a peak in global oil and gas production to be followed soon by marked decline. It would cause “war, famine, pestilence and death” — the biblical Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse. Another version: “war, starvation, economic recession, possibly even the extinction of homo sapiens.” Or, peak oil and gas “represents a mortal threat to the U.S. economy” and we “could plunge into a new Dark Age … in an overheated world.” This one lamented that it might well exacerbate “global warming” and thus it called for higher energy taxes and increased limits on coal alternatives. Besides the extravagant rhetoric typical of environmentalists, the Politically Correct and other statist liberals, even when these […]

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Peak Oil is You Gail Tverberg shares some of the most insightful observations about the connection between economic growth and energy. In an article posted at her website several weeks, she raised issues which are too often shunted aside in the primary debate of  “not enough” versus “all we need” fossil fuel supplies in the years to come. They’re too important to continuously skip past. I’d like to focus on just a couple of the (as usual) excellent points she raised. We do not have an alternate fuel supply that will allow the economy to continue to grow, regardless of fossil fuel consumption. The published reserves include large amounts of oil in the ground that are not of the very cheap to extract type. Extracting such oil will be impossible if oil prices are very low, or if credit availability is lacking. It is tempting for observers to look […]

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