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Chinese Leader’s Economic Plan Tests Goal to Fortify Party Power

HONG KONG — China’s president, Xi Jinping, is about to plunge the country and himself into a risky experiment: an attempt to carry out market-driven economic overhauls while reinforcing the Communist Party’s pillars of political and ideological control. This mixed agenda has magnified doubts about whether he can deliver on his promises of transformation. At a meeting, or plenum, of the party’s Central Committee that starts Saturday, Mr. Xi will enumerate his plans for an economic overhaul, and state-run news media has promoted the event as a turning point. Mr. Xi and Prime Minister Li Keqiang have indicated that they want to nurture healthy, sustained growth by encouraging more market competition, private business, financial liberalization and individual consumption, leaning away from the state-focused policies of the past decade. Yet, Mr. Xi wants to achieve this economic shift away from the state while strengthening the ruling party , which derives […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Congress Seen Debating Oil Exports While Wary of Gas Cost

Congress probably will consider loosening restrictions on U.S. oil exports, though a push by industry to sell more crude overseas will be resisted by members concerned about the impact on gasoline prices, lawmakers said. Senator Lisa Murkowski , the top Republican on the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, believes the debate on oil exports will happen “sooner rather than later,” according to Robert Dillon, a spokesman for the Alaska lawmaker. “It’s something we are looking at,” Dillon said. The chairman of the committee, Senator Ron Wyden , an Oregon Democrat, agrees the debate is coming though he would need to see benefits to consumers before supporting such a move, said spokesman Keith Chu in an e-mail. The American Petroleum Institute is developing the “necessary legal analysis” and may “highlight potential violations” of global trade rules in support of natural gas and oil exports, according to an internal planning […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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The downside of higher U.S. energy exports

oil tanker Photo: MrHicks46/Flickr. Critics of TransCanada’s Keystone XL project often argue that Canada should reap the full benefits of its natural resources, rather than exporting its petroleum riches south of the border. Head to the U.S. and, ironically, you can hear the same discussion. Much of America’s new found oil wealth is being shipped abroad, which is worrying Americans who figured they had a Made-in-the-USA solution to the country’s energy needs. Since 1975, U.S. federal law has banned raw crude from being exported in the interests of national energy security. The legislation, however, doesn’t cover refined products, such as gasoline or diesel. American refineries are free to export as much refined product as they can sell. And these days that’s a lot. Refineries in the U.S. are shipping record amounts of gasoline around the world, exporting the fruits of the country’s shale revolution to some of the same […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Why the oil majors are getting hammered

Page added on November 6, 2013 As in the second quarter of the year, third quarter results for the oil majors, the international oil companies and other major listed operators, were disappointing. Some were downright awful. Why have results for the oil companies deteriorated so markedly, and what should we expect in the future? In this article, we’ll look primarily at upstream liquids — primarily crude oil production. Historically, when crude oil consumption has reached 4.25% of GDP in the US, the consumer has chosen to reduce consumption rather than accept further price increases. This number represents a Brent oil price of $103 / barrel today. The equivalent numbers for China are about 6.25% of GDP and $120 / barrel, Brent basis. Take the combined average, and the global “carrying capacity”, the price the global economy as a whole can manage, is about $112 / barrel Brent, just a […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Utilities in Pain Selling Renewable Assets at Record Rate

Wind farms and solar parks are changing hands at record rates, signaling both an increased taste for the assets among pension funds and hard times for utilities that are the biggest sellers. About 43 percent of the 275 deals completed in the power industry in the first nine months were for renewable generators, up from 37 percent in the year-earlier period, according to data compiled by Ernst & Young LLP. The value of all the deals increased to $104 billion from $93 billion. Buyers from insurer Aviva Plc (AV/) to Danish fund PFA Pension A/S are seeking yields averaging about 6 percent on wind and solar, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Utilities such as France ’s GDF Suez (GSZ) SA, Iberdrola SA (IBE) of Spain and Dong Energy AS have unloaded plants to build cash cushions as power prices slumped and competition increased from independent generators. Utilities “simply […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Australia’s mining sector is expected to suffer from China’s economic downturn, says a new report.

SYDNEY, Nov. 5 (UPI) — Australia’s mining sector is expected to suffer from China’s economic downturn, says a new report. “With China’s economy on course for a rude slowdown over the coming years,” says the report, released Monday by London-based research consultants Business Monitor, “Australia’s mining sector is set to suffer the painful spillover effects of a sharp investment slowdown.” The report notes that Australia has been among the biggest beneficiaries from the China-led commodities boom over the past decade. The value of the Australia’s mining industry had increased more than six-fold from $24 billion in 2003 to $147 billion in 2012, boosted by a sharp rise in the value of Australia’s mineral exports, particularly iron ore and coal. While Business Monitor predicts the value of Australia’s mining sector to reach $181 billion by 2017, the average annual growth rate is expected to be 4.3 percent through 2017, compared […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Australia's mining sector is expected to suffer from China's economic downturn, says a new report.

SYDNEY, Nov. 5 (UPI) — Australia’s mining sector is expected to suffer from China’s economic downturn, says a new report. “With China’s economy on course for a rude slowdown over the coming years,” says the report, released Monday by London-based research consultants Business Monitor, “Australia’s mining sector is set to suffer the painful spillover effects of a sharp investment slowdown.” The report notes that Australia has been among the biggest beneficiaries from the China-led commodities boom over the past decade. The value of the Australia’s mining industry had increased more than six-fold from $24 billion in 2003 to $147 billion in 2012, boosted by a sharp rise in the value of Australia’s mineral exports, particularly iron ore and coal. While Business Monitor predicts the value of Australia’s mining sector to reach $181 billion by 2017, the average annual growth rate is expected to be 4.3 percent through 2017, compared […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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China’s Slower Growth Puts a Drag on Western Profits

Just as European economies are showing signs of stabilizing and the U.S. economy is waking up, some companies are running into obstacles in a market long considered their brightest hope: China. U.S. and European companies invested heavily in recent years to expand in China, seeking to tap into its flourishing middle class and fast economic growth. Since the global recession, China has helped offset the free fall in sales and profits in the euro zone and stagnant revenue in the U.S. But the latest set of quarterly earnings results reveal that for many companies, China has been a drag. While some industries did well, the combination of slower economic growth, plus government crackdowns that have put fresh scrutiny on the way companies win new business, hurt sectors from technology to luxury goods to pharmaceuticals. As a result, the sluggish global sales that persisted through much of the recovery aren’t […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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China's Slower Growth Puts a Drag on Western Profits

Just as European economies are showing signs of stabilizing and the U.S. economy is waking up, some companies are running into obstacles in a market long considered their brightest hope: China. U.S. and European companies invested heavily in recent years to expand in China, seeking to tap into its flourishing middle class and fast economic growth. Since the global recession, China has helped offset the free fall in sales and profits in the euro zone and stagnant revenue in the U.S. But the latest set of quarterly earnings results reveal that for many companies, China has been a drag. While some industries did well, the combination of slower economic growth, plus government crackdowns that have put fresh scrutiny on the way companies win new business, hurt sectors from technology to luxury goods to pharmaceuticals. As a result, the sluggish global sales that persisted through much of the recovery aren’t […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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China’s Leaders Confront Economic Fissures

WUHAN, China — The two-story employment complex here, like job centers across China, is crowded with educated young people who are trying to figure out their futures in a country where the job market still prizes assembly-line workers willing to labor monotonous hours on backless stools. Among them is Zheng Yilong, who graduated from a university three months ago and refuses to consider a factory job even though his degree is in machinery design. He seeks a desk job instead. Sitting at the employers’ booths are much older factory managers like Jin Tao who despair of finding the workers they need. “I see the problem mostly as an education mismatch problem,” Mr. Jin said. “I’m willing to pay more than 3,000 renminbi a month, which is more than what fresh college graduates are getting.” (That’s about $500.) “I’m also willing to give training, but the young people now with […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple