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Oil Market Report

Highlights (19 January 2016) Markets were routed in December as persistent oversupply, bloated inventories and a slew of negative economic news pressured prices so that by mid-January crude oil touched Continue Reading

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Oil Market Report

Benchmark crudes approached seven-year lows in early December after OPEC opted to continue producing at will to defend market share. Unrelenting oversupply in world markets had already weakened benchmarks during Continue Reading

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Mexico asks to join IEA

Mexico submits request to join the International Energy Agency, saying doing so would advance energy security interests. Photo by tcly/Shutterstock PARIS, Nov. 17 (UPI) — Mexico’s secretary of energy said from Paris his country submitted a formal request to join the Western-backed International Energy Agency. Founded in the wake of an Arab oil embargo in the 1970s, Mexican Energy Secretary Joaquin Coldwell said joining the Paris-based IEA would advance regional interests . "The IEA offers a forum to develop joint answers and global co-operation schemes to guarantee energy security, promote economic development and foster environmental sustainability worldwide," the secretary said in a statement. Mexico is the second-largest economy in Latin America and the fourth-largest producer in the region, after the United States, Canada and Brazil, respectively. The government recently auctioned off rights to 14 tracts covering an estimated 2,600 square miles with reserve estimates of around 686 million barrels […]

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IEA sees bear oil market as stocks balloon

A drop of diesel is seen at the tip of a nozzle after a fuel station customer fills her car’s tank in Sint Pieters Leeuw December 5, 2014. The world is awash with oil having built record stockpiles in recent months and slowing demand growth combined with resilient non-OPEC supply could worsen the glut well into next year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Friday. "Stockpiles of oil at a record 3 billion barrels are providing world markets with a degree of comfort," the IEA said in a monthly report, adding brimming stocks offer an unprecedented buffer against geopolitical shocks or unexpected supply disruptions. Oil prices have more than halved in the past 18 months with supply bolstered by U.S. shale oil output and OPEC’s refusal to cede market share. [O/R] The IEA said global oil supplies breached 97 million barrels per day in October, up 2.0 million […]

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IEA Sees No Oil Price Rebound For Years

Oil prices are likely to stay below $80 per barrel for another five years, according to a closely watched energy report. The International Energy Agency released its 2015 World Energy Outlook (WEO), with predictions for energy markets out to 2040. Although there are no shortage of caveats, the IEA projects that oil prices will only rebound slowly and intermittently, and the supply overhang will slowly ease through the rest of the decade. In its “central” scenario, it sees oil prices rebalancing in 2020 at $80 per barrel, with increases in the years following. At issue, as always, is supply and demand dynamics. The IEA estimates that the oil industry will slash upstream investment by 20 percent in 2015, which will cut into long-term supply figures. Non-OPEC supply will peak before 2020 as a result of much lower investment, topping off at 55 million barrels per day. U.S. shale will […]

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IEA Says Record 3 Billion-Barrel Oil Stocks May Weaken Prices

Oil stockpiles have swollen to a record of almost 3 billion barrels because of strong production in OPEC and elsewhere, potentially deepening the rout in prices, according to the International Energy Agency. This “massive cushion has inflated” on record supplies from Iraq, Russia and Saudi Arabia, even as world fuel demand grows at the fastest pace in five years, the agency said. Still, the IEA predicts that supplies outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will decline next year by the most since 1992 as low crude prices take their toll on the U.S. shale oil industry. “Brimming crude oil stocks” offer “an unprecedented buffer against geopolitical shocks or unexpected supply disruptions,” the Paris-based agency said in its monthly market report. With supplies of winter fuels also plentiful, “oil-market bears may choose not to hibernate.” Oil prices have lost about 40 percent in the past year as the OPEC […]

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Oil Market Report

mb/d World Oil Demand *Please note that these Highlights are from the latest Oil Market Report, which is released in full to subscribers only – according to this schedule each month . Non subscribers get free access to the latest Highlights on this schedule, however the full Oil Market Report is released to the public two weeks after the report is released to subscribers. If you would like to receive the full report with accompanying charts and graphs on the day of publication please subscribe or contact the subscription manager . Crude oil benchmarks were locked in a narrow range during October as continuing oversupply in world markets and a strong US dollar limited the impact of strikes in Brazil and geopolitical tensions. At the time of writing, ICE Brent was trading at $44.43/bbl and NYMEX WTI at $41.75/bbl. Global demand growth is forecast to slow to 1.2 mb/d […]

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Global Oil Demand Growth to Slow in 2016, IEA Says

Workers connect drill bits and drill collars in the Permian basin outside of Midland, Texas…. Global oil demand will ease next year on the weaker outlook for the world economy and oversupply in the market, the International Energy Agency said on Friday. The IEA said global demand growth is forecast to slow to 1.2 million barrels a day in 2016 after surging to 1.8 million barrels a day this year. Economic conditions are expected to remain problematic in countries such as China, and factors that have recently fuelled consumption are expected to fade, it said. Commercial stocks from countries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development stood at a record near 3 billion barrels by the end of September, even as the global oil market adjusts to oil trading at $50 a barrel oil. “The net result is brimming crude oil stocks that offer an unprecedented buffer against […]

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Oil glut to swamp demand until 2020

Sign up for quick access to a wealth of global business news, including: Oil glut to swamp demand until 2020 Newspaper + Premium online Newspaper + Premium online Premium Full FT.com subscription Premium Full FT.com subscription Standard Full news & archive Standard Full news & archive Trial Try Premium online Trial Try Premium online Price Monthly Annual $66.30 $11.77 per week $53.00 $9.25 per week $36.00 $6.45 per week $1.00 for 4 weeks $1.00 for 4 weeks FT Alphaville plus selected FT blogs yes yes yes yes Unlimited FT.com article access yes yes yes yes Unlimited mobile and tablet access yes yes yes yes Unlimited fast FT yes yes yes yes 5 year company financials archive yes yes yes yes The LEX column yes yes no yes ePaper access yes yes no yes Three exclusive weekly emails yes yes no yes Daily newspaper delivery yes no no For 4 […]

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IEA Sees OPEC Market Share Growing From 2020 a Rivals Stagnate

OPEC’s share of the global oil market will expand from 2020 as prices recover to $80 and supply outside the group stagnates due to spending cuts, according to the International Energy Agency. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ share of global supply will remain steady at 41 percent until 2020 then rise to 44 percent by 2025, two percentage points higher than the IEA forecast a year ago. Production growth from countries not part of OPEC will slow over the next five years and halt by 2020, as crude prices recover to $80 a barrel. OPEC’s decision last year to defend its market share rather than cut production to support prices has curbed growth of rival supplies like U.S. shale oil. While the resulting 40 percent slump in crude prices has “sharply” reduced the group’s revenues, it will eventually prove beneficial for members that are able to increase output, […]

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$80/Bbl Oil By 2020, Says IEA

0836 GMT — The oil markets should be rebalanced and prices should be in the $80 a barrel range by 2020, according to a new report issued by the International Energy Agency. The Paris-based watchdog’s World Energy Outlook 2015 states that the “process of adjustment in the oil market is rarely a smooth one” but that there should be an equilibrium by the end of the decade. The forecast will not be met with much enthusiasm by many of the world’s oil producers, because most rely on oil revenues as the main source of government income. The Dec Brent contract trades flat at $47.19 a barrel.

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