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Falling Crude Prices Upend Canada’s Oil Sands Projects

Two years ago Canadian oil sands producer Cenovus Energy Inc., CVE -2.54 % buoyed by success at its flagship project and eager to cut operating expenses, halved the amount of instrumentation used to measure finicky temperature and pressure at its wells. But that turned out to be a costly mistake that cut into its Foster Creek site’s production volumes, which only have recently recovered after the company reversed course. “We started to cut our operating costs, but in hindsight that’s a lesson learned,” Harbir Chhina, Cenovus’ executive vice president in charge of oil sands, said in an interview. “If I compare the oil sands to a baseball game, I think we just finished the first inning,” he said. Of the roughly two million barrels a day that Canada currently produces from its oil sands, about half is mined from the surface using giant excavators and the world’s tallest dump […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Rail Tank Car Orders Fall Sharply

Orders for railroad tank cars fell sharply in second quarter, reflecting lower shipments of crude oil amid falling prices. Orders for 3,155 tank cars were placed in the quarter, down 29% from first quarter and off 70% from the second quarter of 2014, the Railway Supply Institute reported. The order backlog dropped 11% from the first quarter to 46,375 tank cars. The decline comes amid a broad decline in energy shipments at railroads. Carload volume for oil and petroleum products for the week ended July 18 was down 20% from last year and were off 2.7% in the first 28 weeks of 2015 from the same period in 2014, according to the Association of American Railroads. Meanwhile, orders for boxcars surged in the second quarter as shippers—led by the paper industry—complained of car shortages caused by railroads culling older boxcars from their fleets. Boxcar orders were 2,940 against none […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Texas RRC Oil & Gas Production

The Texas RRC Data is out. All RRC data below is through May. The EIA data is through April. Texas C+C There appears to be an increase in Texas May crude oil production. You will notice that the EIA has departed from their usual practice of just estimating Texas C+C production up about 50,000 bpd for every month for the last six months or so. They have a new method or estimating Texas production which is explained in the first link below the charts. That new method has Texas C+C production down 64,000 barrels per day in April. The May Texas production data will be out on July 31, in the Petroleum Supply Monthly . Dean C+C Dr. Dean Fantazzini has calculated what the data wil eventually look like and given us the 95% confidence bounds. He has Texas C+C basically flat since December. Texas crude only appears to […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Nine Reasons Why Low Oil Prices May “Morph” Into Something Much Worse

Why are commodity prices, including oil prices, lagging? Ultimately, it comes back to the question, “ Why isn’t the world economy making very many of the end products that use these commodities? ” If workers were getting rich enough to buy new homes and cars, demand for these products would be raising the prices of commodities used to build and operate cars, including the price of oil. If governments were rich enough to build an increasing number of roads and more public housing, there would be demand for the commodities used to build roads and public housing. It looks to me as though we are heading into a deflationary depression, because prices of commodities are falling below the cost of extraction. We need rapidly rising wages and debt if commodity prices are to rise back to 2011 levels or higher. This isn’t happening. Instead, Janet Yellen is talking about […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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How plunging oil prices have created a volatile new force in the global economy

He’d spent years touting his vision that America would one day dominate one of the world’s most powerful markets. And when Harold Hamm, a pioneer in discovering vast reserves of shale oil under American soil, took the stage in front of several hundred oil luminaries, he never acknowledged that the narrative was in doubt. “For the next 50 years, we can expect to reap the benefits of the shale revolution,” Hamm said one day this spring. “It’s the biggest thing that ever happened to America.” But away from the stage, the US oil industry – and Hamm – was in crisis. In the previous six months, Hamm, founder of oil giant Continental Resources , had lost $6.5bn, more than one-third of his net worth. The industry that Hamm had helped create was facing its greatest test in a frantic race to stay profitable as rival Saudi Arabia worked to […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Chesapeake to Eliminate Dividend to Pay for Capital Spending

Chesapeake Energy Corp. CHK -9.54 % said Tuesday that it will eliminate its shareholder dividend starting in the third quarter and redirect the money to capital spending, the latest round of cutbacks for the U.S. shale driller. Shares of Chesapeake, down 48% this year, fell 1.2% to $10.15 a share in premarket trading. Chesapeake estimated that getting rid of the annual dividend of 35 cents a share will save the company $240 million a year. The company plans to use the money for its 2016 capital program. Chesapeake said it has also agreed to sell some properties to FourPoint Energy LLC. Chesapeake has struggled to recover from years of aggressive spending as the land-grab approach the company pioneered for oil and gas drilling meant it spent more than its wells generated in profit. But under Doug Lawler, who joined as chief executive in June 2013, the company has been […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Is the U.S. Really the World’s Top Oil Producer?

According to the recently-released BP (NYSE: BP) Statistical Review of World Energy 2014 , the U.S. was the world’s largest and most diverse energy producer in 2014. The Statistical Review ranked the U.S.: #1 in oil production #1 in natural gas production #1 in nuclear power #1 in wind power #1 in geothermal power #1 in biofuels #2 in coal production #4 in hydropower #5 in solar power The U.S. is clearly an energy production superpower, but we are an even greater energy consumer. Thus, despite the large amount of energy production, the U.S. is not energy independent. Our position as the #2 coal producer behind China (not coincidentally) mirrors our #2 position behind China in carbon dioxide emissions. And despite the rapid growth of renewable energy in both countries, carbon dioxide emissions in both countries rose to new record highs in 2014. Perhaps the most surprising item from […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Wall Street Lenders Growing Impatient With U.S. Shale Revolution

Raising Cash Halcon Resources Corp. almost ran into trouble with its banks in June 2013. And again in March 2014. And in February 2015. Each time, the shale driller came close to violating debt limits set by its lenders, endangering a credit line that provided as much as $1.05 billion in much-needed cash. Each time, Halcon’s banks, led by JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co., loosened their restrictions, allowing Halcon to keep borrowing. That kind of patience may be coming to an end. Bank regulators have issued warnings on the risks involved in lending to U.S. drillers, threatening a cash crunch in an industry that’s more dependent than ever on other people’s money. Wall Street has been one of the biggest allies of the shale revolution, bankrolling thousands of wells from Texas to North Dakota. The question is how that will change with oil prices down […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple
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Oil Explorers Retreat From Shallow U.S. Gulf in Shift to Shale

Explorers Mostly Quit Shallow U.S. Gulf in Shift to Inland Shale Energy producers are abandoning the search for oil and natural gas close to shore in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico as drilling budgets shrink and exploration migrates to land-based shale fields. The number of permits for new wells in seas less than 500 feet (152 meters) deep plunged 74 percent to nine during the first six months of this year from a year earlier, according to the U.S. Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. Shallow-water drilling has largely targeted gas in recent decades because most of the crude in fields close to shore had already been discovered and harvested. The glut of gas from shale fields in Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Pennsylvania that crushed prices for the fuel made offshore gas production less attractive. “A lot of the players operating on the continental shelf are financially distressed or […]

Posted On : Published By : Tom Whipple