The top of the oil market may be closer than you think. With Brent futures having bounced back as high as $41 a barrel, the International Energy Agency sees “ light at the end of the tunnel ,” and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is spotting “green shoots.” Even so, many analysts warn that, like the failed rally last year, this recovery will sputter once prices go high enough to keep U.S. crude flowing. “If prices keep going up, U.S. production from shale producers is extremely responsive,” Jamie Webster, vice president of crude markets at IHS Energy, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “Falling U.S. production is the key dynamic you need to get supply to equal demand, and that might not actually happen,” meaning prices could fall again. Brent futures have recovered about 40 percent from the 12-year low of $27.10 reached in January, trading for $38.60 at 8:58 […]