OPEC’s relentless output increase before their November deal to curtail supply has led to the first global stocks increase in six months, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday, noting that the market needs time to see a significant drawdown, expecting an implied deficit of 500,000 bpd for the first half at current production levels and supply and demand fundamentals. According to IEA data, total OECD oil stock levels confirm the legacy of higher production at the end of last year. Global inventories had started falling in August from record high levels, and by end-December they had dropped by 120 million barrels, an average decline of almost 800,000 bpd, IEA said. “However, in January we saw an abrupt about turn with OECD stocks increasing by 48 mb (1.5 mb/d) and preliminary data for February suggests they have fallen back again only modestly,” the agency noted. Export volumes are […]

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