Oil retreated from its highest close in four months after the OPEC+ alliance confirmed it would start tapering output cuts from next month. Futures in New York dropped below $41 a barrel. Saudi Arabia and Russia said the producer bloc would proceed with its plan to add more supply next month and were confident that it wouldn’t hurt oil’s rally, with the tapering to be offset by extra cuts from countries that didn’t meet their targets. Oil was also under pressure from a drop in equities in Europe and Asia. That was despite figures that showed China’s economy returned to growth and expanded more than forecast last quarter.

OPEC oil production set to rise from August

The recovery in China is in stark contrast to other corners of the globe, where the coronavirus continues to rage out of control. That’s leading to a patchy rebound in crude, though there are pockets of strength in some parts of the oil market, with North Sea contracts trading at their strongest levels in five months. All of that has left headline prices struggling to break far beyond $41.

“Unless the market makes a convincing jump today, those with bullish inclination will become disillusioned and the recent highs will not be challenged in the near future,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at brokerage PVM Oil Associates.

PRICES:
  • West Texas Intermediate for August delivery declined 1.3% to $40.68 a barrel as of 10:10 a.m. in London
  • Brent for September settlement fell 0.9% to $43.38 a barrel
    • Contracts-for-difference in the North Sea market are trading at their strongest level since February, suggesting tight supplies in the region