Author: ASPO-USA

The idea that we’re running out of oil may have faded slightly from the list of concerns, but that’s just one of any number of precious natural resources we’re using up far too quickly. Peak oil is the concept that new discoveries of commercially exploitable oil resources do not keep pace with growing demand. By extrapolating the data, you can estimate when we will run out of it for all practical purposes. There are a lot of disagreements about whether we have reached peak oil or when the downhill slope will hit a point that brings a significant percentage of our vehicles to a grinding halt, but the concept has made scientists and policy makers ask the question: What other critical resources may be peaking? Asia Pulp & Paper Company, one of the world’s largest, announced last month that it will no longer use wood from natural forests for […]

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President Richard Nixon of the United States of America is probably the most infamous of all the American presidents to ever hold office. His involvement in the Watergate scandal and the Vietnam War are all that’s left of him in the memory of most Americans today. However in 1973, at the peak of the oil crisis, when national oil reserves were depleting and oil prices per barrel had increased by more than 300%, he made his famous address to the people in November, where he said “ Restating our overall objective. It can be summed up in one word that best characterizes this nation and its essential nature. That word is ‘ independence ’.” Today, nearly 40 years after the oil crisis crippled America, they are one step closer to Nixon’s ambitious plan of full energy independence. On July 31st, 2014; an oil tanker, the BW Zambesi , set […]

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The debate over whether we are running out of oil sometimes resembles the medieval controversy over how many angels could dance on the head of a pin. By redefining the size of the pin and the agility of the angels, today’s “peak oil” proponents have managed to continue the argument. The characters have changed though. Matthew Simmons, author of Twilight in the Desert, casting doubt on Saudi oil production, died in August 2010, and the Oil Drum website closed down last September. New disputants, including economist James Hamilton from the University of California, and Stephen Kopits, the managing director of the consultancy Douglas-Westwood, argue that oil production is limited by geology and is a severe drag on economic growth. These factors will ultimately drive up the oil price if they are right. On the other side of the argument, voices such as the Reuters columnist John Kemp, who states […]

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There are enough articles on the “myth of peak oil” floating around the Internet to fill a book; and there are enough books on the subject to fill a small library.  One of the common threads throughout these publications is their lack of credible sources, because not only is peak oil real, but we’re rapidly approaching that threshold.  An example that is smacking the United States and the oil industry in the face right now is floating in the Gulf of Mexico.  According to a new government report , oil and natural gas production in the Gulf has been steadily declining for the last decade. The report looked at oil production in the Gulf of Mexico on federal lands only, not any privately-held lands where production is taking place. Since 2010, according to the report , the annual yield of oil from the Gulf has fallen by almost 140 million barrels.  […]

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Solar and renewables are being touted as the energy sources of the future, but will they provide enough power relative to the energy that must be invested in them? Engineer Graham Palmer argues there’s no easy solution to the fact that we’re running out of fossil fuels. Canadian philosopher Marshall McLuhan once quipped that the last thing a fish would notice is the water. You could almost draw a parallel to the essential role energy plays in modern society—cheap accessible energy is now so ubiquitous that we barely notice the importance of it to modern living, nor the astonishing wealth it has brought. Just one litre of petrol provides the equivalent of a week or more of pre-industrial human labour. Having achieved this miraculous transformation, it is not likely that societies will voluntarily turn back. According to Joseph Tainter’s thesis, societies grow more complex in order to solve new […]

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IEA Oil Market Forecast: Optimistic Assumptions And An Economy Unable To Grow Out Of Its Problems The International Energy Authority (IEA) forecasts a yearly increase of 1.3% in global oil demand during the period 2013-2019. This contrasts with the assumption of global economic growth rising from 3.6% in 2014 to around 4% thereafter [1] . How does a 1.3% increase in oil usage support economic growth of about three times that amount? The oil intensity of growth has been decreasing over time, with global oil intensity falling from  1:1 (a 1% increase in global oil consumption required for each 1% of global economic growth) to a ratio of 0.75:1, between 1995 and 2009 [2] . An extrapolation of that trend would result in an average oil intensity of about 0.65:1 during the 2013-2019 time period, with 1.3% growth in oil demand driving about 2% global economic growth. The IEA […]

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Electric Currents I came across this OpEd this morning by , a former financial advisory and retired attorney, now turned author. Besides turning his ‘pen’ to fiction, he also blogs on energy issues, Peak Oil, in particular, so critics will likely call him, and me, ‘true believers.’ But our particular tribe trusts facts and verifiable numbers, not loose estimations and overly-rosy forecasts, like predicting Americas’ energy independence based on fracking and tar sands. Richard has analyzed the arguments aimed at debunking ‘Peak Oil’ and found that very little substantive data is used. Instead critics turn to the same tactics used by tobacco companies and global warming deniers. I thought his comments and observations worth sharing with EV World readers. Bill Moore Denial Tricks of the Trade On an issue fraught with the potential for so much societal disruption as peak oil presents (like its kin, climate change), and the […]

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It’s certainly understandable and indeed common practice in probably every sales conversation in every profession known to man that putting the best spin on the story told is a given. Most buyers/consumers would be surprised at the very least if a presenter offered up her or his best but then immediately discounted that version with other information contradicting it all and discouraging the consumers from even considering what’s being offered. We all understand there’s a game to be played. While that may be standard practice and simply part of the bargain to eventually be struck in the great majority of consumer transactions where the parties tend to be on equal footing, energy supply conversations don’t fall into that category when the discussion is between everyday consumers and industry officials or their representatives. Matters of such scope tend to be outside the range of interest for all but a few, […]

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