Category:

Tackling food security with a growing population, climate change and peak oil

With a growing population and improving diets there is a need to double our food supply by 2050. Identify three measures you would take to meet this demand. Identify one of your measures from your list and post your solution into the discussion – be prepared to defend your choice! That is a big question to throw in a climate change course. I am presently doing an online course – Climate Change: Challenges and solutions – offered by the University of Exeter (UK). So please indulge me as I also use this blog for some climate course work. This article is for week 6, section 6.5 of the course on ‘Tackling food security’. Food security is one helluva big area to try and come to terms with. Earth’s population is just over 7 billion people. It is projected by the United Nations in a June 2013 report on global […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

Can Austin survive the current Texas drought? Part 1

drought map There is sound science that says there is likely to be big trouble, even in supplying Austin’s current population with enough water. Federal officials have designated portions of 11 drought-ridden Western and Central states as primary natural disaster areas. Map from UDSA.gov. Image from NBCDFW.com. First of three . I met a traveller from an antique land Who said: “Two vast and trunkless legs of stone Stand in the desert. Near them on the sand, Half sunk, a shattered visage lies, whose frown And wrinkled lip and sneer of cold command Tell that its sculptor well those passions read Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things, The hand that mocked them and the heart that fed. And on the pedestal these words appear: `My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings: Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!’ Nothing beside remains. Round the decay Of that […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

Transition Towns: The Solution To Peak Oil?

Page added on February 22, 2014 Peak oil is the ever approaching, if not already passed point in which the world’s crude oil production rate reaches its maximum output, and then falls into decline. 86 million barrels of crude oil are produced everyday, however as a planet, we are using around 88 million barrels a day (Transition Culture 2007), showing an uneven consumption rate which will aid the decline of available oil. The International Energy Agency stated that there could be as much as 20,000 billion barrels (Transition Culture 2007) of oil under the planet’s surface but that much of it will remain undiscovered. Additionally, a considerable percentage of oil has been found under protected sites such as reindeer sanctuaries in Alaska and the newly found oil in the Arctic; the question is whether the value of this oil is worth the destruction of these ecosystems and environments as […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

Peak Oil: Higher Prices

It is unfortunate, however, that we cannot look at the real problem. Unless we can understand the problem as it really is, it is impossible to find solutions that might actually be helpful. [1]   MIXED MESSAGES   The message behind messages like that one aren’t usually anyone’s first choice for contemplation, planning, or doing. Happier yarns about energy abundance are certainly more appealing. Reality being what it is, however, we continue to ignore that to our longer-term detriment. “Appealing” has a limited lifespan, and when the misleading half-truths are what most citizens hear most of the time, that timer will wind down sooner than we’re prepared for. That is definitely not a good message…. The bottom line is: If we want oil, we are going to need high prices. That’s what peak oil is all about –  progressively higher prices that are […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

US to be world’s biggest oil supplier by 2016

Page added on February 21, 2014 As the US economy continues to grow, experts say it will rely less on the world’s major oil exporters in Africa and the Middle East, regions largely sustained by U.S. imports. According to the International Energy Agency, the economy will grow by 2.8 percent in 2014, higher than the 2.6 percent it previously forecasted. The International Monetary Fund predicts the global economy will grow in the same direction by 3.7 percent. Eventually the U.S. will pull ahead of Saudi Arabia and Russia in oil production, becoming the largest oil supplier in the world by 2016, according to a report by the energy group. An estimated 9.6 million barrels of oil will flow per day in the country, reversing the upward oil import trend that has been ongoing for four decades. But a projected increase in supply doesn’t necessarily mean crude oil prices are […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

Peak Oil is Real and the Majors Face Challenging Times

Page added on February 19, 2014 The idea that global oil production was nearing its peak , only to plateau and then decline was a common view in the energy world for many years. The geophysicist M. King Hubbard predicted in the 1950’s that US oil production would peak in the 1970’s, a forecast that held true until technology allowed companies to economically extract oil and gas from tight geologic formations like shale. The recent surge in US liquids output – crude plus natural gas liquids (NGLs) – quieted the peak oil community. A well-known, largely peak oil-focused website – The Oil Drum – shut down in 2013, an event some considered the death knell of the peak oil theory. But not so fast says Steven Kopits from energy business analysis firm Douglas-Westwood. Total global oil supply growth since 2005 – 5.8 million barrels per day – came from […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

Bakken Update, Big Drop in December

North Dakota has published the latest production numbers. ND Monthly Oil Production Statistics (All North Dakota) ND Monthly Bakken* Oil Production Statistics (Bakken Only)   Bakken production fell 48,395 bp/d to 862,389 bp/d and all North Dakota production fell 53,226 bp/d to 923,227 bp/d. That was after Bakken November production had been revised up by 2,908 bp/d and North Dakota November production was revised up by 3,173 bp/d. From the Director’s Cut <i>The drilling rig count was up from Nov to Dec, but the number of well completions dropped from 138 to 119. Days from spud to initial production increased 18 days to 132. Investor confidence appears to be growing, but there is still some concerns about the uncertainty surrounding federal policies on taxation and hydraulic fracturing regulation, but the big story is the December weather. Low temperatures of 21 to 31 degrees […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

America’s leaky natural gas system – Peak Oil – Climate Change – Global Warming

The first thorough comparison of evidence for natural gas system leaks confirms that organizations including the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) have underestimated U.S. methane emissions generally, as well as those from the natural gas industry specifically. Natural gas consists predominantly of methane. Even small leaks from the natural gas system are important because methane is a potent greenhouse gas – about 30 times more potent than carbon dioxide. A study, “Methane Leakage from North American Natural Gas Systems,” published in the Feb. 14 issue of the journal  Science , synthesizes diverse findings from more than 200 studies ranging in scope from local gas processing plants to total emissions from the United States and Canada. “People who go out and actually measure methane pretty consistently find more emissions than we expect,” said the lead author of the new analysis, Adam Brandt, an assistant professor of energy resources engineering at Stanford […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

Fusion shows progress

Fusion energy experiments at Lawrence Livermore Labs have finally produced more energy than they consumed, a huge step forward in turning fusion into a viable source of energy. The researchers, led by physicist Omar Hurricane, described the achievement as important but said much more work is needed before fusion can become a viable energy source. Hurricane said that the reaction did not produce self-heating nuclear fusion, known as ignition, that would be needed for any fusion power plant. Researchers have faced daunting scientific and engineering challenges in trying to develop nuclear fusion – the process that powers stars including our sun – for use by humankind. “Really for the first time anywhere, we’ve gotten more energy out of this fuel than was put into the fuel. And that’s quite unique. And that’s kind of a major turning point, in a lot of our minds,” Hurricane told reporters. “I think a lot […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA
Category:

BP’s peak oil rejection

For the first time since the industrial revolution the world is moving into an era without a dominant energy source. That’s the assertion of global oil giant BP, which is also offering a reality check on the notion of peak oil. The company’s general manager of global energy markets and US economics, Mark Finley, is adamant that natural gas, coal and oil will all scrap for the top spot over the next two decades. The assertion comes on the back of a January release of BP’s latest 2035 energy market outlook, which highlighted a convergence of the fuels at the top of the energy tree in 20 years’ time. BP’s peak oil rejection Source: BP Energy Market Outlook 2035. “We’ve never seen this before,” Finley explains of the fight for the top spot during a recent speech at Columbia University in New York. “Personally, I think it poses some […]

Posted On : Published By : ASPO-USA