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Oil Seen in New Era as OPEC Won’t Yield to U.S. Shale

OPEC’s decision to cede no ground to rival producers underscored the price war in the crude market and the challenge to U.S. shale drillers. The 12-nation Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries kept its output target unchanged even after the steepest slump in oil prices since the global recession, prompting speculation it has abandoned its role as a swing producer. Yesterday’s decision in Vienna propelled futures to the lowest since 2010, a level that means some shale projects may lose money. “We are entering a new era for oil prices, where the market itself will manage supply, no longer Saudi Arabia and OPEC,” said Mike Wittner , the head of oil research at Societe Generale SA in New York. “It’s huge. This is a signal that they’re throwing in the towel. The markets have changed for many years to come.” The fracking boom has driven U.S. output to the highest […]

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OPEC Inaction Signals Pain for Refiners With Costly Oil

OPEC’s failure to address oil’s slide to near $70 a barrel by refraining to cut its output target threatens profits at Asian refiners that filled inventories at higher prices. Brent crude plunged the most in three years yesterday after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said it will keep its collective production at 30 million barrels a day. South Korean refiner SK Innovation Co. (096770) predicted its fourth-quarter earnings will be hurt as a 38 percent fall in prices since a June peak widens losses from stockpiles. While a fall in crude cuts raw material costs for refiners, the benefits are limited because they have to account for oil accumulated when the market was higher. OPEC’s decision not to reduce output creates potential for further declines in prices, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. “The operating environment for the country’s refining industry is expected to worsen in the short-term,” […]

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OPEC’s Decision and Tumbling Oil Prices Hammer Oil-linked Stocks and Currencies

The tumbling price of oil hammered commodity-dependent currencies as well as shares in oil and gas companies Friday, a day after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries left its output target unchanged , diminishing hope of any imminent respite for the ailing commodity. In early trade, Brent crude was an additional 1% lower at $71.86 a barrel, its weakest level in four years, having already plummeted nearly 7% on Thursday. It later picked up slightly. Analysts had estimated OPEC would need to take 1 million to 1.5 million barrels a day off the market to support oil prices, which have fallen by more than 30% since the summer, but its members didn’t bow to the market pressure. Russia’s ruble, which this year has also been pummeled by geopolitical tensions and resulting sanctions, hit yet another all-time low against the dollar, while fellow oil-linked currencies such as the Canadian […]

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Pre-OPEC Producer Meeting Fails to Deliver Oil Output Cut

Nations supplying a third of the world’s oil failed to pledge output cuts after meeting in Vienna today. Russia can withstand prices even lower than they are now, the country’s biggest producer said. Officials from Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Russia said only that they would monitor prices. Crude futures sank to a four-year low in New York. OPEC meets in two days, with analysts split evenly over whether the group will lower output in response to the crash in prices. Crude fell into a bear market this year amid the highest U.S. production in 31 years and speculation that Saudi Arabia and other members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries won’t do enough to curb a surplus. Prices are below what nine of group’s 12 members need to balance their national budgets, data compiled by Bloomberg show. “All these countries are significantly affected by lower prices and […]

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OPEC Members Nearing Compromise on Supply Cuts

A general view of a meeting of oil ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum… ENLARGE A general view of a meeting of oil ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting countries, OPEC, at their headquarters in Vienna, Austria in June. The ministers meet again on Thursday in one of the most closely watched sessions in years. Associated Press VIENNA—OPEC members are inching toward a compromise that could lead them to cut oil supply, as the producer group prepares for one of its most closely watched meetings in years this week. Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, is likely to side with calls for the group to adhere more closely to its self-imposed production ceiling at Thursday’s meeting of OPEC oil ministers, according to a Gulf official familiar with the Saudi position. Support for such a move, which would be […]

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Saudis signal no push for oil cut as market to ‘stabilize itself’

VIENNA (Reuters) – OPEC leader Saudi Arabia signaled on Wednesday it was unlikely to push for a major change in oil output at the producer group’s meeting this week, a day after Russia refused to cooperate in any production cut. Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said he expected the oil market "to stabilize itself eventually" but did not comment on talks with Russia held on Tuesday, which produced no firm pledge from Moscow to help support flagging oil prices. Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zangeneh said some OPEC members, although not Iran itself, were gearing up for a battle over market share and insisted that non-OPEC producers needed to participate in any OPEC-led output cut. "The most important thing for all of us is the unity and solidarity of OPEC, and in this situation I believe we need to have the contribution of non-OPEC producers for managing the market," Zangeneh […]

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OPEC Said to Consider Sparing Three Nations From Oil Cuts

OPEC is considering sparing three nations from participating in potential oil-production cuts, two people with knowledge of the proposal said. Saudi Arabia ’s oil minister said he doesn’t anticipate a difficult meeting when the group meets on Nov. 27 to decide its response to slumping crude. Iraq, Iran and Libya wouldn’t have to reduce supplies should the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agree to cut output at its gathering in Vienna, according to the people, who asked not to be identified in line with their national policies. Ali Al-Naimi , Saudi Arabia’s oil minister, told reporters in the Austrian capital today that it’s not the first time the oil market has been oversupplied. Crude prices plunged into a bear market this year amid the highest U.S. oil production in more than three decades and speculation that Saudi Arabia wouldn’t cut output in response to a surplus. Oil-market analysts are […]

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Some Traders Step Back From Oil Market Ahead of OPEC Meeting

By Nicole Friedman Some traders and investors are stepping back from the oil market ahead of the most widely watched OPEC meeting in years, anticipating that thin holiday trading could exacerbate big price swings. Oil experts say the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which controls roughly a third of global crude output, needs to curb production by at least 3%, or one million barrels a day, to bring supplies closer in line with demand. Such a move could put a floor under oil prices, which have plunged about 30% since mid-June. Oil prices settled down 73 cents, or 1%, at $75.78 a barrel Monday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. OPEC is scheduled to meet on Thursday in Vienna. Many oil traders in the U.S. will be taking the day off for Thanksgiving. According to the Nymex schedule, electronic trading will run until 1 p.m. New York time […]

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Saudi Oil Minister: Oversupply Not Unusual; No Comment on Any OPEC Move

Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi is surrounded by reporters as he arrives at his… ENLARGE Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi is surrounded by reporters as he arrives at his hotel Monday for this week’s OPEC meeting. Reuters VIENNA—Saudi Arabia’s oil minister on Monday suggested current high levels of supply in global oil markets aren’t unusual, but declined to comment on the kingdom’s likely stance at this week’s crucial meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. Speaking to reporters as he arrived in Vienna ahead of Thursday’s OPEC gathering, Ali al-Naimi asked, “Is this the first time we have oversupply?” That came in response to a question about the current balance between supply and demand in oil markets. Some OPEC members, such as Venezuela, have been calling for several months for the group to cut its oil production following a 30% fall in oil prices. But […]

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OPEC’s Easy Days Setting Oil Production Are Over, Veteran Says; You Need Russia, Norway, Mexico

The days when OPEC members could almost guarantee consensus when deciding production levels for oil are long gone, according to a veteran of almost two decades of the group’s meetings. The global glut of crude, which has contributed to a 30 percent decline in prices since June 19, has left the organization dependent on non-members to shore up the market, said former Qatari Oil Minister Abdullah Bin Hamad Al Attiyah. The 12-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is scheduled to meet in Vienna on Nov. 27. “OPEC can’t balance the market alone,” Al Attiyah, who participated in the group’s policy meetings from 1992 to 2011, said in a Nov. 19 phone interview. “This time, Russia , Norway and Mexico must all come to the table. OPEC can make a cut, but what will happen is that non-OPEC supply will continue to grow. Then what will the market do?” Global […]

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